02606nas a2200241   4500008004100000245006900041210006900110260000900179490000700188520184100195653002402036653002502060653003602085653002902121653002202150100002602172700001702198700002002215700002402235700002702259700002302286856005502309       2016                        eng d00aLocal perspectives and global archetypes in scenario development0 aLocal perspectives and global archetypes in scenario development  c20160 v213 aContrasting social-ecological scenarios can help stakeholders envision potential futures and navigate change and uncertainty. Scenario developers integrate stakeholder perceptions into storylines to increase scenario relevance and plausibility while relying on archetypes of change from scenario literature to enrich narratives. This research examines the contributions of local perspectives and global archetypes to scenario development through a case study of a regional scenario project, Yahara 2070, in Wisconsin, USA. Interviews with 50 Yahara watershed stakeholders and 5 members of the project's scenario development team were examined to compare themes from scenario archetypes with local perspectives on how change is expected to occur. We next examined how these two sources of inspiration for trajectories of change were used in the development of the Yahara 2070 scenarios. Both global archetypes and local stakeholders emphasized social values, market forces, and policy reform as influences in determining the future, which were reflected in Yahara 2070. However, stakeholders were less likely to mention institutional breakdown, an important theme from the global scenarios literature that was included in Yahara 2070. This research offers a new approach to analyzing similarities and differences between scenarios&#8217; narratives and local perspectives. Scenario development may involve tensions between the goals of reflecting stakeholder views and including narratives from the global scenarios literature that may be useful for  creating divergent model trajectories and addressing dramatic change into the future. To improve scenario development, scenario projects should document the development process in academic and nonacademic venues, explicitly highlighting sources and constraints in storyline development.10ascenario archetypes10ascenario development10asocial and environmental change10astakeholder perspectives10awatershed futures1 aWardropper, Chloe, B.1 aGillon, Sean1 aMase, Amber, S.1 aMcKinney, Emily, A.1 aCarpenter, Stephen, R.1 aRissman, Adena, R.  uhttp://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol21/iss2/art12/